Above, D. Suh signs with the Miami Dolphins.
Image courtesy of the Sun-Sentinel.
Take a look at those teams that have great depth at important positions, with quarterback being probably the most relevant. Teams dealing with “quarterback controversy” or where there are solid #2 and #3 players might be an interesting option. As a general rule, watch out for teams that already have established players at important positions, or veteran players who are not fighting for their place on the roster, as we probably won’t be seeing much of them during preseason games. Look for teams with a few good players fighting for the same job or situations in which a head coach will be playing some potential starters against backups.
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In order to be successful betting on the NFL preseason, it is also important to analyze a team’s strengths and needs and what exactly the head coach wants to accomplish before the start of the regular season. A team with a young quarterback or a team playing in a completely new system, for example, will probably leave their starters (or potential starters) on the field a little bit longer.
Take a look at a coach’s NFL preseason history, as it might give you a glimpse of what a certain coach is looking for in preseason games and also help you make some decisions. Bill Belichick, one of the best head coaches in NFL history, for example, has a record of 13-15 since 2008 while John Harbaugh, a young but already charismatic and successful coach in the league, with the Baltimore Ravens, has a preseason record of 19-9! Also, look at teams with 2 losses in the preseason, as some head coaches, in order to raise their players’ moral and confidence for the regular season, usually want to get at least one win before the really important games start. Last season’s stats might also be important, but not exactly for the same reason they are used during the regular season. Last year’s numbers can reveal what a specific team needs in order to get better, which means, more reps and more playing time for a certain starter or potential starter.
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